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Table 4 Analysis of deviance, natural logarithms of odds ratio and standard error of apple anthracnose severity (%), and likelihood ratio test on independent variables in the reduced regression model in Chencha district of Gamo zone, southern Ethiopia, during the 2021 and 2022 production years

From: Association of apple powdery mildew (Podosphaera leucotricha) and anthracnose (Neofabraea malicorticis) epidemics with environmental factors and agronomic practices in Chencha highlands, southern Ethiopia

Variables

Residual deviancea

df

Anthracnose LRT

Variable class

Estimate Loge (odds ratio)

SE

Odds ratio

DR

Pr > χ2

Intercept

3476.83

0

10,803

 < .0001

 

−21.510

0.2070

4.550E-10

Altitude

1097.06

1

11.62

0.0007

 < 2700

0.2016

0.0591

1.2233

  

–

–

 ≥ 2700

0*

0

1.0000

Yield (t/ha)

809.47

3

39.69

 < .0001

 ≤ 15

0.644

0.1024

1.9057

  

50.25

 < .0001

15 – 20

0.479

0.0676

1.6164

  

0.12

0.7343

20 – 25

0.024

0.0720

1.0247

  

–

–

 > 25

0*

0

1.0000

Age of apple tree

3364.93

3

5.77

0.0163

 ≤ 5 years

−0.447

0.1864

0.6390

  

0.06

0.8012

5 – 10 years

−0.020

0.0795

0.9801

  

1.73

0.1887

10 – 15 years

−0.070

0.0536

0.9320

  

–

–

 > 15 years

0*

0

1.0000

Cropping system

1077.38

4

2.82

0.0929

Mono cropped

0.179

0.1068

1.1964

  

3.79

0.0111

Mixed with enset

0.187

0.1399

1.2057

  

1.03

0.3108

Mixed with horticulture

0.107

0.1059

1.1132

  

0.02

0.8953

Mixed with cereals

0.011

0.0873

1.0115

  

–

–

Mixed with legume

0*

0

1.0000

Years

1041.58

1

6.59

0.0102

2021

−0.109

0.0427

0.8961

  

–

–

2022

0*

0

1.0000

Survey site

962.86

1

4.13

 < .0001

Farmers field

21.16

0.0

1548106

  

–

–

State farm

0*

0

1.0000

Relative humidity

893.06

1

6.96

0.0083

 < 90

−0.193

0.0733

0.8242

  

–

–

 ≥ 90

0*

0

1.0000

Disease status

1103.14

2

522.24

 < .0001

High

−2.269

0.0993

0.1033

  

68.99

 < .0001

Medium

−0.5972

0.0719

0.5503

  

–

–

Low

0*

0

1.0000

Disease management

941.42

2

3.39

0.0237

Pruning + sanitation

−0.111

0.0942

0.8947

  

1.39

0.5108

Sanitation (no pruning)

−0.0467

0.0711

0.9543

  

–

–

No management

0*

0

1.0000

Weed management

1008.77

2

4.29

0.0384

Good

0.157

0.0759

1.1702

  

3.25

0.0713

Intermediate

−0.1496

0.0829

0.8610

  

–

–

Poor

0*

0

1.0000

  1. aUnexplained variations after fitting the model; LRT Likelihood ratio test, DR Deviance reduction, Pr Probability of an x2 value exceeding the deviance reduction; * Reference group; df = Degrees of freedom; x2 = Chi square